One transparent selection with the exact price, playable limit, matchup case, risks, timestamp, and permanent result. No email gate and no hidden number.
MLBOfficial Play
LOSS
Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals · Thu, Sep 24, 1:10 PM CDT
Kansas City Royals +112
Market
Full game ML
Sportsbook
Caesars
Playable to
+112
Market baseline
Not recorded
Published probability
50.2%
Residual bound
Not used / unavailable
Documented edge
+5.0%
Projection engine
SR-MLB-0.5.3
Release policy
SR-MLB-LIVE-0.6
The case
MLB LIVE RELEASE. This independently qualified lane cleared the full six-market audit plus fresh exact-price and independent-book confirmation at Caesars. Raw simulation 56.0%, final published probability 50.2% versus 45.2% power no-vig baseline; edge 5.0 points. Model-sized risk is 1.00u under SR-MLB-LIVE-0.6. No material overlap with existing same-slate releases. Forward validation building · 22/50 settled · 19.0% positive CLV (21 closes). No chase beyond the locked price.
Three things to know
01
MLB LIVE RELEASE.
02
This independently qualified lane cleared the full six-market audit plus fresh exact-price and independent-book confirmation at Caesars.
03
Raw simulation 56.0%, final published probability 50.2% versus 45.2% power no-vig baseline; edge 5.0 points.
Main riskThe market can move beyond +112. At a worse price, the published edge and this recommendation no longer apply.
Sports Rounders publishes the market, price ceiling, evidence, and result together. Official Plays must pass their sport-specific release model. Weekly Research Picks are expert selections that are explicitly labeled and excluded from Official Play validation metrics.
01Screen the complete slate
We do not stop after finding one attractive matchup.
02Verify the market
The selection must use a current, two-sided sportsbook price.
03Publish the limit
If the market crosses the playable number, the pick is no longer valid.
04Grade permanently
Results and closing prices remain attached to the original post.
Recent free-pick results
No disappearing losses.
LOSSKansas City Royals +112Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City Royals · Sep 24LOSSLos Angeles Dodgers -218San Diego Padres @ Los Angeles Dodgers · Sep 23LOSSAtlanta Braves -1.5 -110Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves · Sep 23WINMinnesota Twins -132Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants · Sep 22LOSSColorado Rockies +1.5 +107Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies · Sep 22WINCincinnati Reds +155Cincinnati Reds @ Atlanta Braves · Sep 22LOSSSt. Louis Cardinals +144St. Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates · Sep 22LOSSOver +8.5 +102Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants · Sep 21
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